COVID cases, deaths and hospitalizations in the U.S. have actually plunged in current weeks. Professionals have told Newsweek it may be too quickly to view the pandemic as in retreat, particularly as the danger of new variants looms and individuals might grow contented amidst the greatest vaccine roll-out in the country’s history.
On Sunday, the U.S. reported 72,000 new COVID cases, 67,000 individuals hospitalized with the illness, and 1,363 deaths, according to the COVID Tracking Task. That was down from the all-time high at the start of January when 1.7 million cases were reported in a week. Hospitalizations have fallen from their record of 132,000 in early January, and casualties were down for the second week in a row as of Thursday.
States reported 1.4 million tests, 72 k cases, 67 k individuals hospitalized with COVID-19, and 1,363 deaths.4 bar charts showing key COVID-19 metrics for the US gradually. pic.twitter.com/bxZ5EFe20 H
— The COVID Tracking Job (@COVID19 Tracking) February 15, 2021
These figures continue a trend that coincided with previous President Donald Trump‘s recently in office. However, as specialists previously told Newsweek, neither he nor President Joe Biden can take credit because the drop was likely a consequence of a big spike in cases following the holiday season late last year, when individuals broke CDC recommendations to gather and take a trip.
The “rapid” decrease in cases was therefore expected, according to Amir Roess, Professor of worldwide health and epidemiology at George Mason University. It is partly due to individuals collecting less following the vacations, and restricted in-person activities at K-12 and higher education institutions, in addition to religious services and indoor dining in some parts of the country.
It will take a while to see the results of vaccines on new case numbers, Roess said. Considering that the roll-out began in December, over 14 million people have gotten their 2 full doses of either the Pfizer or Moderna vaccines, according to the CDC.
The eight health specialists who talked to Newsweek welcomed the indications that the outbreak appeared to be moving in the best instructions. However when asked whether the pandemic is in retreat, as recommended by some news reports, some stated it was however most said it was not– although their arguments were largely semantic. They did, nevertheless, all stress the nation can not rest on its laurels, and progress could easily be threatened
While the slope of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths is progressively moving downward, the U.S. is still only back to levels of illness seen in November, which is still greater than any previous moment in the pandemic, said Dr. Manisha Juthani, associate professor of medication and epidemiology at Yale School of Medication and Yale Medicine transmittable illness expert.
Jennifer Dowd, associate professor of demography and population health at the University of Oxford, U.K., stated: “It’s clear we are currently on the downward slope of the present curve, however there are no warranties that the momentum will not move back again in the other direction.”
Reducing constraints too early is another potential pitfall, highlighted by Jagpreet Chhatwal, an assistant professor at Harvard Medical School who works on The COVID-19 Simulator forecasting project. States including New York, New Jersey, and Iowa are among those to have relaxed particular rules intended at preventing the spread of COVID, as well as California, which has actually emerged as one of the hotspots for the more recent, more transmittable variation from the U.K. known as B. 1.1.7. While it is understood the COVID vaccines available in the U.S. avoid recipients from establishing COVID, it is unclear whether they stop the infection from spreading asymptomatically
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